Upgrading Leadership's Crystal Ball: Five Reasons Why Forecasting Must Replace Predicting and How to Make the Strategic Change in Business and Public Policy Book PDF, ePub eBook

Join our eBook service for unlimited books & audiobooks. Get a free 7 day subscription! ↓↓↓↓↓


Book Descriptions:

Clearly, concisely, and with many examples from public and private enterprise, Upgrading Leadership’s Crystal Ball shows why predictions are usually wrong and presents a better way to look at the future―forecasting. This book is essential-reading for anyone who needs to make the best possible strategic decisions for moving an organization forward in today’s rapidly changing environment.

Dr. Bauer supplies an insightful comparison of the two mainstream approaches for looking ahead. Although predicting and forecasting are usually used as synonyms for a single process, they are conceptually and methodologically quite different. He explains why everyday failure to operationalize these differences robs us of power to envision and pursue good futures, especially when we are headed in the wrong direction.

Readers will learn the real-world value of distinguishing between predicting (extrapolating historical trends) and forecasting (estimating the probabilities of possibilities). Following a description of predictive modeling and a discussion of five reasons why it fails so often in current applications, Dr. Bauer explains the superiority of forecasting and how to do it.

To complete readers’ understanding of the many compelling reasons for making the shift from predicting to forecasting, Upgrading Leadership’s Crystal Ball presents a practical approach to strategic planning in unpredictable times. It concludes with an analysis of the future of big data and its likely impact on the future.

Dr. Bauer is uniquely qualified to write this important book; he is trained in both predicting (economics) and forecasting (meteorology). Author of more than 250 publications, he is internationally recognized not only for long-term success in foretelling the future of medical science and health care, but also for successful innovations to create a better delivery system. This book distills the lessons garnered over his 40 year career as economist and futurist into a guide that other leaders can use to avoid problems and create better options in any realm.

The book includes a foreword by Dr. Stan Gryskiewicz, author of Positive Turbulence.

Upgrading Leadership's Crystal Ball: Five Reasons Why Forecasting Must Replace Predicting and How to Make the Strategic Change in Business and Public Policy by Jeffrey C. Bauer

From reader reviews:

Jacquelyn Lopez:

Book is written, printed, or illustrated for everything. You can understand everything you want by a reserve. Book has a different type. As you may know that book is important thing to bring us around the world. Adjacent to that you can your reading expertise was fluently. A guide Upgrading Leadership's Crystal Ball: Five Reasons Why Forecasting Must Replace Predicting and How to Make the Strategic Change in Business and Public Policy will make you to end up being smarter. You can feel much more confidence if you can know about almost everything. But some of you think that will open or reading the book make you bored. It is not make you fun. Why they might be thought like that? Have you trying to find best book or appropriate book with you?

John Caldwell:

What do you concerning book? It is not important with you? Or just adding material when you want something to explain what the one you have problem? How about your spare time? Or are you busy individual? If you don't have spare time to perform others business, it is make you feel bored faster. And you have free time? What did you do? Every person has many questions above. They need to answer that question due to the fact just their can do which. It said that about publication. Book is familiar in each person. Yes, it is appropriate. Because start from on pre-school until university need this specific Upgrading Leadership's Crystal Ball: Five Reasons Why Forecasting Must Replace Predicting and How to Make the Strategic Change in Business and Public Policy to read.

Maritza Berry:

Reading a guide can be one of a lot of task that everyone in the world enjoys. Do you like reading book consequently. There are a lot of reasons why people enjoyed. First reading a guide will give you a lot of new data. When you read a e-book you will get new information since book is one of a number of ways to share the information as well as their idea. Second, examining a book will make anyone more imaginative. When you reading a book especially fictional works book the author will bring someone to imagine the story how the figures do it anything. Third, it is possible to share your knowledge to other individuals. When you read this Upgrading Leadership's Crystal Ball: Five Reasons Why Forecasting Must Replace Predicting and How to Make the Strategic Change in Business and Public Policy, you can tells your family, friends along with soon about yours reserve. Your knowledge can inspire others, make them reading a reserve.

Colleen Williams:

Reading a e-book make you to get more knowledge from the jawhorse. You can take knowledge and information from the book. Book is published or printed or descriptive from each source that will filled update of news. On this modern era like right now, many ways to get information are available for you actually. From media social like newspaper, magazines, science book, encyclopedia, reference book, story and comic. You can add your knowledge by that book. Are you ready to spend your spare time to open your book? Or just looking for the Upgrading Leadership's Crystal Ball: Five Reasons Why Forecasting Must Replace Predicting and How to Make the Strategic Change in Business and Public Policy when you necessary it?